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The sample document

What you receive from VIDI, part by part.

A question from Company X, a fictional company, and the three documents it receives from VIDI by EE Partner: the real pages, with example numbers.

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On ForecastBench, the world leaderboard for forecasting systems: top 50 in simulations, within 3 points of the leader, Google DeepMind.

Company X's question

“Should we go abroad or launch a new line? Which one will grow us more?”

A fictional company, example numbers.

1The answers

The opening page

Your goal, the recommendation, the numbers that matter and this month's actions, on one sheet.

Use it to decide in five minutes, even without reading the rest.

  1. The recommendation
  2. The numbers that matter
  3. This month's actions
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

The opening page

Where to grow in the next 12 months

Your goal

Grow revenue by at least €500,000 in a year, with no new debt above €400,000.

The recommendation

Go abroad: about +€620,000 in the first 12 months. Open one market at a time, starting with the nearest; the new line can wait.

How solid it is: good

The numbers that matter

ItemValueSource
Abroad, first 12 months+€620,000Forecast
New line, first 12 months+€340,000Forecast
Foreign orders, share of revenue14%Your data
Investment to start abroad€120,000Quotes

This month's actions

  1. Choose the first market, the nearest one, with a 4-month order target.
  2. Find someone to sell for you locally: an agent or a distributor.
  3. Prepare the price list, payment terms and credit insurance.
Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 1

2The answers

The answer

The recommended path, with its number and its range.

Use it to see what the choice is worth, in the central case and at both ends.

  1. The recommended path
  2. The number
  3. The range
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1

Should we go abroad or launch a new line? Which one will grow us more?

The answer

Go abroad.

+€620,000

extra revenue in the first 12 months, in the central case

380,000620,000910,000

The range: the real result should fall inside it. Scale from €0 to €1 million.

The other path. The new line would bring about +€340,000, from 150,000 to 720,000: less, and later.

Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 2

3The answers

The scenarios

Three cases, downside, central and upside, with what has to happen for each to come true.

Use it to plan on the central case and test your cash on the downside.

  1. Three cases side by side
  2. What has to happen
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, the scenarios

The scenarios for going abroad

Extra revenue in the first 12 months, in three cases.

Downside. The first market starts in 6 months instead of 3; payments arrive at 90 days.

Central. The first market starts in 3 months, the second at mid-year.

Upside. Two markets live within 4 months, with a large distributor from the first quarter.

Which case to plan on. The central one. Test your cash on the downside: even there, going abroad stays above the new line.

Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 3

4The answers

The possible paths

Going abroad and the new line on the same yardstick, item by item.

Use it to see how far apart they are, and when it pays to switch.

  1. The same yardstick
  2. Item by item
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, the possible paths

Two paths, the same yardstick

Extra revenue in the first 12 months: the mark is the central case, the band is the range.

1Going abroad recommended

+€620,000

2The new line if conditions change

+€340,000
ItemGoing abroadThe new line
Investment to start€120,000€450,000
First revenueafter 3 monthsafter 9 months
Main riskslower paymentsuncertain demand
When to choose itnowif going abroad stalls by month 4
Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 4

5The answers

Why

The reasons behind the answer, each with its source.

Use it to explain the choice to your partner or your bank.

  1. Each reason
  2. Its source
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, why

Why go abroad

Four reasons, from different sources, all pointing the same way.

  1. 1

    Orders from abroad are already growing without a push: from 9% to 14% of revenue in three years.

    Source: Your sales data

  2. 2

    Similar companies that open a nearby market add between 10 and 20% to revenue in the first year.

    Source: Similar cases; BACH, financial statements of European companies

  3. 3

    The new line needs almost four times the investment and reaches its first revenue six months later.

    Source: Machinery quotes

  4. 4

    In the nearest market, demand for your product is growing and prices are holding.

    Source: Eurostat, foreign trade; Istat, producer prices

Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 5

6The answers

How far to trust it

How sure the answer is, in words, what supports it and where it is weakest.

Use it to know how much weight to give the number.

  1. The level, in words
  2. What supports it
  3. Where it is weakest
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, how far to trust it

How sure the answer is

Good.

What supports it

  • The reasons come from different sources and say the same thing.
  • The signal in your foreign orders is clear and has held for three years.
  • Even in the downside case, going abroad stays ahead of the new line.

Where it is weakest

  • How fast the second market takes off: your data there is thin.
  • Payments from abroad: they depend on the first clients.
Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 6

7The answers

What would reverse it

The condition that would change the answer, and the signal to watch every month.

Use it to notice in time if the path isn't holding.

  1. The condition
  2. The signal to watch
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, what would reverse it

When to change path

The condition

If the nearest market brings in less than €60,000 of orders in the first 4 months, the new line moves back ahead.

The signal to watch, every month

Out of 10 new foreign clients, how many reorder within 90 days.

What doesn't reverse it. One weak month on its own, or a large order that isn't repeated.

Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 7

8The answers

What to do

This month's actions, with who does them and by when.

Use it to start on Monday, without extra meetings.

  1. The principle
  2. Who and when
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

Question 1, what to do

This month's actions

One market at a time, starting with the nearest.

ActionWhoWithin
1Choose the first market, the nearest one, and set the target: €60,000 of orders in the first 4 months.Management2 weeks
2Find someone to sell for you locally: an agent on commission or a distributor, not a branch.Sales4 weeks
3Prepare the price list, payment terms and credit insurance before the first order.Finance4 weeks
4Put the new line on hold and review it in 6 months, with the real numbers from abroad.Management6 months
Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 8

9The answers

The risks

Five risks at most, each with its number and how to reduce it.

Use it to protect your cash before you start.

  1. Five at most
  2. Its number
  3. How to reduce it
EE PartnerThe answers, Company X8 October 2026

The risks

The main risks

Five at most, each with its number, heaviest first.

  1. 1

    Slower payments: 90 days instead of 60

    −€45,000 of cash

    A deposit on the first order, credit insurance.

  2. 2

    The market starts more slowly than expected

    −€240,000 of revenue

    A 4-month target and the repeat-order signal.

  3. 3

    One distributor carries too much weight

    40% of foreign orders

    A second channel from month six.

  4. 4

    Higher transport and exchange costs

    −€25,000 of margin

    Ex-works prices, a price list in euros.

  5. 5

    Local rules and labelling

    2 months of delay

    Check the rules before the first order.

Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 9

10Method and evidence

Method and evidence

The engines that worked on it, the evidence, the official sources and the limits.

Use it to check what every number rests on.

  1. The engines used
  2. What each one did
EE PartnerMethod and evidence, Company X8 October 2026

Method and evidence

How we answered

Seven of the thirteen engines worked on this question.

EngineWhat it did on this question
Similar casesCompared your company with others that opened a nearby market.
Time seriesProjected your revenue and foreign orders month by month, with the range.
Simulated market
Estimated how customers would respond to the new line, at different prices.
Market companiesMeasured how many companies, and how much turnover, there are in nearby markets.
CompetitorsLooked at who already sells in the nearest market, and at what prices.
ScenariosBuilt the three cases and the “what if” on timing, payments and transport.
Official statisticsTook the public figures the question needs, each with its source.
Example: Company X is a fictional company.Page 1

11The data in Excel

The data in Excel

Every table in the document, with the source of each number.

Use it to redo the numbers in your own spreadsheet.

  1. Every table
  2. The source of each number
  3. One sheet per part
Company X, data.xlsx8 October 2026
ItemValueFromToSource
Abroad, first 12 months+620,000+380,000+910,000Forecast
New line, first 12 months+340,000+150,000+720,000Forecast
Downside scenario+380,000Scenarios
Central scenario+620,000Scenarios
Upside scenario+910,000Scenarios
Foreign share of revenue14%Your data
Investment, abroad120,000Quotes
Investment, new line450,000Quotes
How sure it isgoodEvidence
AnswersScenariosSeriesSources

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Example. Company X is a fictional company and the numbers are examples; the sources are the ones VIDI really uses.